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Moody's Warns US Recession Likely Amid Iran Conflict

Filed: Mar 18, 2026 at 8:08 AM ET
Summary: Moody’s Analytics predicts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next year due to ongoing tensions from the Iran war.
WHO: Moody’s Analytics
WHAT: Forecasts a recession
WHEN: Mar 18, 2026 at 7:10 AM ET
WHERE: USA
WHY: Ongoing Iran war impacts economic stability
ℹ️ This event is analyzed using pattern arcs, velocity indicators, and source analysis in our MI Console.

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