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Event Brief

Polymarket long-shot military action bets hit 50%

Half of Polymarket’s long-shot bets on military action have been successful.
WHO: Polymarket
WHAT: High winning rate of wagers on military action likely raises concerns about sensitive information leaking.
WHEN: Apr 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
WHERE: Location not specified
WHY: The high rate of winning wagers is likely to add to concerns about sensitive information leaking on prediction markets.
How this story developed (showing 2 of 2 earlier reports)
Sources (1): Financial Times

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