Event Brief
IMD predicts monsoon onset over Kerala on May 26
Filed: May 15, 2026 at 7:09 AM ET
Summary: IMD forecasts the monsoon will arrive in Kerala on May 26, eight days earlier than usual, with below-normal rainfall risk.
WHO: India Meteorological Department (IMD)
WHAT: IMD predicted the onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala on May 26 and forecast below-normal precipitation due to El Niño risks.
WHEN: May 15, 2026 at 6:23 AM ET
WHERE: Kerala, India
WHY: The forecast is based on a statistical model and El Niño risks indicating below-normal precipitation.
ℹ️ This event is analyzed using pattern arcs, velocity indicators, and source analysis in our MI Console.
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