Kalshi odds for U.S.-Iran nuclear deal stay subdued
By The BriefBrief
Prediction markets showed little change in odds for a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal this year after a ceasefire report.
WHO:Kalshi traders
WHAT:Prediction markets kept odds for a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal by November around 55% after an Axios report on a ceasefire.
WHEN:May 28, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
WHERE:USA
WHY:Traders assessed the ceasefire agreement reported by Axios, which still required further negotiations on nuclear demands and a 60-day memorandum of understanding.
Reporting from 1 identified publisher for this event.