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Event Brief

Quaest poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro at 45%, Lula at 44%

A Quaest poll puts Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 44% in Brazil’s runoff, a technical tie representing 50.6% to 49.4% of valid votes. The poll, reported on Wednesday, comes ahead of the October 25 vote; a separate account says Bolsonaro’s lead over Lula has narrowed.
WHO: Quaest
WHAT: Published a poll showing Flávio Bolsonaro at 45% and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 44% in Brazil’s runoff.
WHEN: Oct 21, 2026
WHERE: Brazil
WHY: The poll measures voter support ahead of Brazil’s October 25 runoff.
How this story developed (showing 7 of 7 earlier reports)

Reporting from 12 identified publishers across this event arc.

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