Polymarket traders put the odds that the US-Iran ceasefire would hold through Nov. 2 at 78%, down about 20 points in 24 hours after U.S. strikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island. Washington called the strikes defensive.
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These publishers contributed reporting to the broader event history. Not every source addresses the specific development described above.
How this brief is built: The BriefBrief correlates multiple sources into one evolving event brief, updated as new facts emerge.
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