Datafolha finds Brazil runoff race statistically tied

By The BriefBrief

Datafolha found that 46% of Brazilian voters reject Flávio Bolsonaro and 45% reject incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a statistical tie three days before the Oct. 25 presidential runoff. Other latest polls put Bolsonaro ahead within the margin of error, with his lead narrowing after a debate last weekend.

WHO: Datafolha

WHAT: Datafolha found nearly equal voter rejection rates for Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ahead of Brazil’s presidential runoff.

WHEN: Reported Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 PM ET

WHERE: Brazil

WHY: The poll measured voter rejection ahead of the presidential runoff.

How this story developed (showing 9 of 9 earlier reports)

Datafolha poll puts Bolsonaro and Lula about even · Oct 22, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET
Lula seeks older voters’ support in runoff campaign · Oct 22, 2026 at 6:06 AM ET
Quaest poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro at 45%, Lula at 44% · Oct 21, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET
Brazil candidates seek rival's disqualification · Oct 21, 2026 at 3:08 AM ET
Lula offers to disclose records if Bolsonaro does too · Oct 20, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Lula and Bolsonaro trade insults in debate before runoff · Oct 19, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET
Bolsonaro and Lula trade barbs in first debate · Oct 19, 2026 at 7:08 AM ET
Lula and Bolsonaro trade barbs in first runoff debate · Oct 19, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro prepare for first debate · Oct 18, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Reporting from 12 identified publishers across this event arc.

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Publishers represented across this event arc

ABC News —
3 articles
Al Jazeera —
4 articles
BBC News — View reporting
Bloomberg —
2 articles
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Buenos Aires Times —
2 articles
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Daily Maverick — View reporting
Deutsche Welle —
2 articles
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Euronews — View reporting
France 24 —
3 articles
Rio Times —
4 articles
South China Morning Post — View reporting
Straits Times —
8 articles

These publishers contributed reporting to the broader event history. Not every source addresses the specific development described above.

How this brief is built: The BriefBrief correlates multiple sources into one evolving event brief, updated as new facts emerge.

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Datafolha finds Brazil runoff race statistically tied

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